Income and Money Flee Missouri

Economy |
By Rik W. Hafer | Read Time 2 minutes minutes

Earlier this year, Michael Rathbone and I published an essay examining migration trends for Missouri. We reported that over the past few years, more of Missouri’s income and residents have moved out of the state than have moved in.

The Statistics of Income Division (SOI) of the Internal Revenue Service publishes data that allow researchers to track migration patterns between states and Washington, D.C. The data just released by the IRS indicate that for the tax year 2012–2013, Missouri continued to lose income and residents to other states.

Missouri experienced a net outflow of adjusted gross income (AGI) based on individual tax forms filed. On net, over $61 million in income left the state in 2012–2013.Which states where the major recipients of our income? The left-hand panel of the table below provides the answer. (A complete ranking using all 50 states can be downloaded from the IRS website.)

Kansas, ninth on the list of where Missouri residents have (on net) relocated, is the number one destination state to which Missouri income fled. In 2012–2013, over $165 million in AGI found a new home in Kansas. Is it possible that tax cuts in Kansas had a bigger initial effect than many thought? This question is a clearly a worthy subject for future research.

Missouri also experienced a net outflow of total exemptions (i.e., tax filers and dependents) to other states in 2012–2013.Where did these 3,232 individuals go? The right-hand panel of the table below shows the top five destination states. (Again, a complete ranking using all 50 states is available at the IRS website.) Of the states to which Missouri has lost net population, Texas and Florida (both zero income tax states) are the top destination states, just as they were in 2010–2011.

 

Top 5 Destination Sites, Tax Year 2012–2013

Net Inflow*

Adjusted Gross Income
(thousands of dollars)

Total Exemptions

Kansas

–165,240

Texas

–2,742

Texas

–64,006

Florida

–1,773

Colorado

–52,473

Colorado

–901

Arizona

–20,683

Oklahoma

–654

Washington

–20,495

Arizona

–514

 

About the Author

Rik Hafer is an associate professor of economics and the Director of the Center for Economics and the Environment at Lindenwood University in St. Charles, Missouri.  He was previously a distinguished research professor of economics and finance at Southern Illinois University Edwardsville. After receiving his Ph.D. from Virginia Tech in 1979, Rik worked in the research department of the Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis from 1979 to 1989, rising to the position of research officer. He has taught at several institutions, including Saint Louis University, Washington University in Saint Louis, the Stonier Graduate School of Banking, and Erasmus University in Rotterdam. While at Southern Illinois University at Edwardsville, Rik served as a consultant to the Central Bank of the Philippines, as a research fellow with the Institute of Urban Research, and as a visiting scholar with the Federal Reserve Banks of Atlanta and St. Louis. He has published nearly 100 academic articles and is the author, co-author, or editor of five books on monetary policy and financial markets. He also is the co-author of the textbook Principles of Macroeconomics: The Way We Live. He has written numerous commentaries that have appeared in The Wall Street Journal, the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, the St. Louis Business Journal, the Illinois Business Journal, and the St. Louis Beacon. He has appeared on local and national radio and television programs, including CNBCs Power Lunch.

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