The Economic Impact of the Missouri E-10 Ethanol Mandate

Corporate Welfare |
By David Stokes, Justin Hauke | Read Time 2 min

Missouri is one of only three states that require a 10-percent minimum ethanol blend (E-10) for retail gasoline sold within the state. The Missouri Corn Merchandising Council (MCMC) recently released a study purporting to demonstrate the positive economic benefits of the state’s ethanol mandate for Missouri consumers. The study claimed that Missourians will save more than $285 million through ethanol-induced fuel cost reductions in 2008 and nearly $2 billion in present value during the following decade. The MCMC study ignores important effects of the E-10 mandate, however, most notably the documented decrease in fuel efficiency of E-10 blended fuel and the taxpayer cost of ethanol subsidies. We find that accounting for these costs significantly impacts the MCMC savings projections and would result in a net loss to Missouri consumers of almost $1 billion during the next decade. If one were to consider the additional impact of the E-10 mandate on higher food prices and CO2 gas emissions, these costs would be even higher.

[NOTE: An earlier draft of this case study incorrectly referred to the Missouri Corn Merchandising Council (MCMC) as the Missouri Corn Merchandising Association (MCMA). The Missouri Corn Growers Association and the Missouri Corn Merchandising Council were both mentioned in the press release that announced the council’s recently commissioned study of ethanol costs, and our error involved inadvertently combining the names of both organizations, which share the same website. We have corrected all instances of this error within the case study, and are confident that the data used therein is accurate.]

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About the Author

David Stokes is a St. Louis native and a graduate of Saint Louis University High School and Fairfield (Conn.) University. He spent six years as a political aide at the St. Louis County Council before joining the Show-Me Institute in 2007. Stokes was a policy analyst at the Show-Me Institute from 2007 to 2016. From 2016 through 2020 he was Executive Director of Great Rivers Habitat Alliance, where he led efforts to oppose harmful floodplain developments done with abusive tax subsidies. Stokes rejoined the Institute in early 2021 as the Director of Municipal Policy. He is a past president of the University City Library Board. He served on the St. Louis County 2010 Council Redistricting Commission and was the 2012 representative to the Electoral College from Missouri’s First Congressional District. He lives in University City with his wife and their three children.

About the Author

Contributing writer at the Show-Me Institute.

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