Should Missouri Eliminate the Individual Income Tax?

Economy |
By Rik W. Hafer | Read Time 2 min

Missouri’s economy has stagnated for years, despite some modest successes. Policymakers often respond by instituting tax credits or other incentives designed to lure new business to the state. But the general failure of government officials to predict growth industries signals the need for a new approach in creating a favorable business climate. One alternative considered in detail by this study is to reduce or eliminate Missouri’s income tax, which would alter the state’s tax structure in a way that encourages a wide variety of individuals and firms to relocate here. Evidence shows that this would not be detrimental to the growth of employment and income. Moreover, it may be possible to eliminate the income tax without sacrificing current levels of state services. Basic economic theory suggests that a tax on income distorts the labor market, by raising the real wage rate and spurring unemployment. This theory is bolstered by numerous empirical studies, which show that states with lower tax burdens have relatively better economic track records than states with higher taxes. Eliminating the individual income tax need not starve state and local governments of funding, either. Other states make up for lost income tax revenue in a number of ways, such as through higher property tax or sales tax rates. Currently, property taxes in Missouri are substantially lower in relation to the other states in which a property tax is levied, and other comparable states generally levy sales taxes on a larger number of services than Missouri does. This study concludes that altering or even eliminating Missouri’s individual income tax could well improve the state’s economic condition.

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About the Author

Rik Hafer is an associate professor of economics and the Director of the Center for Economics and the Environment at Lindenwood University in St. Charles, Missouri.  He was previously a distinguished research professor of economics and finance at Southern Illinois University Edwardsville. After receiving his Ph.D. from Virginia Tech in 1979, Rik worked in the research department of the Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis from 1979 to 1989, rising to the position of research officer. He has taught at several institutions, including Saint Louis University, Washington University in Saint Louis, the Stonier Graduate School of Banking, and Erasmus University in Rotterdam. While at Southern Illinois University at Edwardsville, Rik served as a consultant to the Central Bank of the Philippines, as a research fellow with the Institute of Urban Research, and as a visiting scholar with the Federal Reserve Banks of Atlanta and St. Louis. He has published nearly 100 academic articles and is the author, co-author, or editor of five books on monetary policy and financial markets. He also is the co-author of the textbook Principles of Macroeconomics: The Way We Live. He has written numerous commentaries that have appeared in The Wall Street Journal, the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, the St. Louis Business Journal, the Illinois Business Journal, and the St. Louis Beacon. He has appeared on local and national radio and television programs, including CNBCs Power Lunch.

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